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NFL WEEK 5 PICKS

ImageImageBYES:  Minnesota, Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay, Washington

 

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(KANSAS CITY CHIEFS, 4-0)

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(Tennessee Titans, 3-1)

WEEK #5 Sees Two of the NFL’s Surprise Teams Square Off.  The Chiefs (4-0) take the road to face the Tennessee Titans(3-1)   The Chiefs have been a pleasant surprise as they remain one of the Five Teams that are Unbeaten.  Meanwhile, The Titans have won 3 Games and lost just 1.  The Chiefs are Favored by 3 Points on the Road.  Kansas City comes into the game with the league as the Seventh Ranked Total Defense and allowing a stingy 10.3 Points Per Game.  They are actually tied with the Titans with a 9 Point Differential in Give Aways/Takeaways with 9 at Number One.  The Chiefs have 12 Takeaways…which is tops in the league.  The Chiefs are also Eighth in Total Offense.  I find this kind of Ironic that Andy Reid is coaching a team that has a stellar defense…and there is no coincidence that they remain unbeaten and are one of the best teams in the league.  The Titans are no slouch, coming in at 3-1.  The Titans are right behind the Chiefs at Number 10 in Total Net Defensive Yards.  However, losing Jake Locker to injury is a big blow.

MY PICK- Kansas City beats Tennessee and Covers the Spread.  The Score will be 24-13.

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(BALTIMORE RAVENS, 2-2)

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(Miami Dolphins, 3-1)

The Miami Dolphins are favored at home in this game after losing their last game to the Saints on Monday Night.  The Fish will surely not be a happy bunch and I expect them to come out firing on all cylinders.  The Ravens (Defending Champions) are still struggling to find a new identity after the departure of Ray Lewis and Others.  However, the Ravens can still pound the ball with Ray Rice.  I expect a very entertaining game in this one as both teams are evenly matched on both sides of the ball.  As mentioned…The Fish are Favored by 3 Points against the road dog Ravens.

My Pick:  I am going with the Fish here.  I really feel that they are an improved team and are ready to challenge for the Division against the Patriots.  I am taking the Dolphins to win and cover 17-10 in a low scoring affair.  I still see the Ravens going backwards and not forward at this point.

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(Jacksonville Jaguars, 0-4)

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(Saint Louis Rams, 1-3)

This is a battle of two of the League’s worst teams.  Jacksonville may not win a game as I had predicted.  The Rams have Sam Bradford, who is inconsistent but has still shown flashes of brilliance.  The Rams are favored by 11.5 Points.  The odds makers do not have much faith in the Jaguars at this point, which is the reason for all of these double digit point spreads.  

MY PICK:  The Rams will win this game, but they do not cover as both teams have not shown me any signs of improvement.  The Rams win 24-14.

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(New England Patriots, 4-0)

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(Cincinnati Bengals, 2-2)

This Game is a Pick Em…Although I find it hard to bet against the Patriots, even on the road, even this season where they have not been as dominant.  Tom Brady is still Tom Brady and we know what that means.  Meanwhile, the Bengals who came into the season with much promise have only been average at best.  Their Defense, which many took as the number one fantasy defense has been anything but stellar.  The Patriots are 7-1 in these team’s last Eight Games.  I do not see this trend changing and the Patriots need to win to keep pace with the Dolphins.

MY PICK:  The Patriots win easily 34-17.

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(Seattle Seahawks, 4-0)

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(Indianapolis Colts, 3-1)

The Seahawks are favored by a field goal.  Last week, it took a heroic effort by Russell Wilson to lead the Seahawks to a come back victory in dramatic fashion.  The Seahawks, despite last weeks near miss, still boast one of the League’s best Defenses and their offense remains one of the most dynamic.  The Seahawks can run the ball with power as Marshawn Lynch is probably the most durable and tough running back in the league today.  The Seahawks still have the Fourth Best rated Defense in the NFL.  The Colts are only sixteenth against the run…middle of the pack, while Seattle is Fifth in Team Rushing.  However, The Colts remain right behind the Seahawks at Seventh in Defensive Passing Yards.  The Colts are Tenth in total team offense and the Seahawks are Thirteenth.  So…on paper this looks like an even matchup.  However, I look at Russell Wilson and I see a young Donovan McNabb as far as his leadership skills on the field.  And just for the record, yes I am a McNabb fan and yes Wilson does have more weapons on offense and a better defense behind him.

MY PICK:  The Seahawks win the game and cover in a close game 27-21.

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(Detroit Lions, 3-1)

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(Green Bay Packers, 1-2)

The Packers are coming off a Bye, while the Lions are coming off of an emotional win against the rival Bears.  The PACK are favored by 7 in this one.  Detroit has the potential to have the League’s, or at least the NFC’s Number One Offense.  A healthy Reggie Bush provides so many matchup problems for opposing defenses.  Aaron Rodgers is still Aaron Rodgers though.  He is 14-4 after a loss, which does not bode well for the Lions.  I think this game has shootout potential.

MY PICK:  Green Bay Packers win 38-34, thus they win but do not cover.

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(New Orleans Saints, 4-0)

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(Chicago Bears, 3-1)

Ok, this is my personal game of the week.  The Bears are coming off an emotional loss to the Lions…while the Saints are riding high as one of the two NFC Unbeaten Teams.  I think that list will drop to only one after this week.  The Bears always play well against the Saints, although their pass defense is not that strong this season.  I believe they will stack eight men in the box and blitz, forcing Drew Brees to win this game through the air.  Matt Forte, the Bears Running Back, is Fifth in Rushing Yards with 320, and has a 4.6 Yards per Carry Average, one of the best in the league.  He has also scored three touchdowns.  I expect at least two defensive scores and possibly a special teams return for a touchdown in this game.

MY PICK:  The Saints are favored by 1.  I am going Chicago with the win…27-24.

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(Philadelphia Eagles, 1-3)

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(New York Giants, 0-4)

Who would have saw this coming.  The Giants are in the NFC basement and have yet to win a game.  The perrenial playoff contenders are perennial failures so far this year.  Eli Manning is having one of his worst seasons in his career at this point and the Giants have been blown out in all Four Games.  The Eagles have not faired much better though in this Division we call the NFC Least.  After a Week 1 Win against the Redskins on Monday Night Football…Chip Kelly’s new Hybrid Offense has quacked like a duck.  Michael Vick looks lost again and is running for his life.  The Eagles are making every Quarterback they face look like a Statue in the Pocket, having all day to throw.  So the Eagles cannot protect the Quarterback and they cannot touch the opposing team’s Quarterback.  These two fundamentals, or lack there of is a recipe for disaster. I am still not giving up hope that Chip Kelly can turn this team around; however, they must address the Defense or they will be in the cellar every season here after.

MY PICK:  The Giants are favored by 1.5 points in this NFC least showdown.  I see the Eagles winning this game 27-24.  Expect a big game from LeSean McCoy.

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(Carolina Panthers, 1-2)

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(Arizona Cardinals, 2-2)

After last week’s last minute win over the Buccaneers, the Cardinals must be feeling pretty good about themselves.  Carolina is coming off of a Bye and is licking their wounds.  Deangelo Williams has been a decent player in the backfield, but after getting over 100 Yards rushing in last game, he is destined for less here.  Arizona is giving up a stingy 75 Rushing Yards per game, and held Doug Martin under 70 Last week.  So…If the Panthers are to win this game, it will have to be the Cam Newton Show.

MY PICK:  The Panthers are favored by 2 on the Road.  I go with an upset here as the Cardinals win 20-10.

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(San Diego Chargers, 2-2)

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(Oakland Raiders, 1-3)

The Raiders have been bad as expected.  The Chargers are playing much better than their 2-2 Record Shows.  Phillip Rivers has found his mojo again and Antonio Gates has found the Fountain of Youth.  The Chargers are putting up some prolific numbers on Offense.  However, their two wins have come against the NFC Least which does not show that they have really been tested.  The Eagles and Cowboys are both bad on Defense.  However, these games are always exciting.

MY PICK:  San Diego who is favored by 4.5 wins 34-23 in a high scoring affair that only gets closer at the end in garbage time.

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(Denver Bronco’s, 4-0)

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(Dallas Cowboys, 2-2)

The Denver Broncos are the best team in Football right now…no one will argue against that.  In fact, right now this team seems unbeatable.  Peyton Manning (16 TD’s-0 INT) in Four Games projects out to 64 Touchdowns in a sixteen game season.  Now…I am pretty sure he will have one game where he slips up, but I do not see that being this game.

MY PICK:  Denver in another route 42-28.

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(Houston Texans, 2-2)

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(San Francisco 49ers, 2-2)

This is a battle of two teams that have underachieved so far.  The 49ers are favored by 6.  The Texans have struggled compared to their hot start last year.  Colin Kaepernick has looked shaky for the Niners at times.  However, last week the Niners turned to their Defense and their Running Game with Frank Gore.  If the Niners are patient and play their game, I do not see them losing.

MY PICK:  San Fran wins 20-17.

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(New York Jets, 2-2)

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(Atlanta Falcons, 1-3)

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The Falcons are in a must win game.  Atlanta was picked by many to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl.  However, they have not played up to expectations.  It does not help that they are missing key offseason pickup, Running Back Steven Jackson.  Jackson scored a Touchdown in Week 1 and has not returned since with a thigh injury.  The Jets have been better than expected.

MY PICK:  Atlanta needs this game.  They will win and cover 28-13.

******Stay Tuned For My next Installment of My TOP 20 which will feature the TOP 20 Wide Receivers*********

Have a Great Weekend everyone…I will have my Fantasy Picks as we get closer to game time.

 

 

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About megadethslayer

36 Years Old Avid Heavy Metal Fan and Sports Nut

2 responses to “NFL WEEK 5 PICKS

  1. robakers

    NO 24-*CHI 31 PK
    *NE 37-CIN 31 PK
    DET 33 -*GB 41 (-7)
    SEA 17-*IND 24 (-3)
    *BAL 24- MIA 17 (-3)
    PHI 41- *NYG 45 (-1.5)
    *KC 27 (-3) – TN 17
    *JAX 20 -STL 24 (-11.5)
    CAR 15-*AZ 24 (-1.5)
    *DEN 52 – DAL 31 (7.5)
    *HOU 24 – SF 17 (-6)
    *SD 31-OAK 27 (-4)
    *NYJ 20 – ATL 17 (-10)

  2. Aaron Savage ⋅

    Ok, the Savage is here. Here are my winning picks!!

    Take the Giants at home as 1 1/2 point favorites to cover against the Iggles. The Giants are in desperation mode and will not lose this game.

    Take the Titans at home to cover the 2 1/2 point spread against the Chiefs who are due for a loss.

    Take the Dolphins at home to cover the 3 point spread against the struggling Ravens.

    Take the Rams at home to cover the 10 1/2 point spread against the lowly Jags.

    The the Pats on the road getting 2 points against Cincy.

    Take Seattle to cover the 3 point spread on the road against Indy.

    The the Lions getting 6 1/2 on the road in Green Bay.

    Take the Saints giving a point to the Bears in Chicago.

    Take the Cardinals at home getting 2 against the Panthers.

    Take the Chargers on the road giving 4 1/2 to the Raiders.

    Take Denver to cover on the road giving 7 1/2 against the Cowboys. This spread opened at 5 1/2 so everyone is betting Denver.

    Take the Texans on the road in San Fran getting 6.

    On Monday night, take the Jets on the road in Atlanta getting 10 points. This spread opened at 7 1/2 so everyone is taking Atlanta.

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