WEEK #11 RESULTS/THURSDAY NIGHT PICKS/FANTASY FALLOUT

So Week #11 of the NFL Season is in the books. This season is winding down. So Far the best teams are pulling away from the pack, Atlanta in the NFC and Houston in the AFC. Week #11 saw Aaron go 9-5 against the spread….while I had my best week yet going 12-2. So far this years standings are as follows:
Jason: 83-60
Aaron: 80-63

So we are still neck and neck as this race is going down to the wire. Here are my NFL Power Rankings as of today.
1) Atlanta Falcons
2) Houston Texans
3) San Francisco 49ers
4) Denver Broncos
5) Baltimore Ravens
6) Green Bay Packers
7) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8) Chicago Bears
9) New England Patriots
10) New York Giants….

Bottom Feeders:
1) Philadelphia Eagles
2) Cleveland Browns
3) Jacksonville Jaguars
4) Carolina Panthers
5) Saint Louis Rams

Week# 11 Featured some more key injuries as Willis McGahee of the Denver Broncos went down with a torn MCL and will likely miss the rest of the season. In Philly, Andy Reid made yet another huge coaching mistake as he had LeSean McCoy, the team’s running back and arguably MVP playing in the last two minutes of a blowout to the Washington Redskins. Well, McCoy suffered a concussion and will miss substantial time. And probably the worst injury as far as a team goes, The New England Patriots lost All-Pro Tight End Rob Gronkowski to an arm injury on a PAT at the end of the game. Injuries are a major part of the game and sometimes they really do make a difference in the fate of a teams playoff chances. Injuries definitely effect Fantasy Football Leagues in tremendous ways. My pick of RJ3 as a fantasy standout last week stood true as did my pick of Nick Foles as a Fantasy goat. If course, Nick Foles is in a no win situation.
Now to Thursdays Picks….There will be 3 Games played tomorrow on Thanksgiving, one extra than the traditional Thanksgiving special.
1) Houston Texans @ Detroit Lions- The Texans were lucky to escape with a win in Overtime last week against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Houston is making the big play at will this year and their defense is playing big as well. They are favored by 3 points in the road in Detroit. The Lions always play well on Thanksgiving, but I cannot see them beating the best team in the AFC. The Texans will win and cover but expect the game to be Competitive. Megatron will have a huge game and this matchup will favor two of the top receivers in the league in Andre Johnson and Calvin Johnson.

2) Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys- The Cowboys are favored by 3 points at home. This is an excellent Divisional Rival game with huge playoff implications. The Redskins will hang in there but Dallas will pull away in the end. Dallas wins and covers.

3) New England Patriots @ New York Jets- The Jets have been a circus, despite their win last week. New England just lost one of their best weapons. However, they are always able to recover from key injuries and this is the time they usually make their run. The Patriots are favored by 6.5 on the road and I say they win and cover. Expect Tom Brady to shine and take over the game.

Stay tuned for Aaron’s picks. Ok…as far as Fantasy Football goes my team won and my record went to 5-6. I still have a slight chance to make the playoffs, but I must win out. I lost Willis McGahee, my 3rd starting running back to miss significant time this year. Peyton Manning continues to be my leader and Calvin Johnson and Brandon Marshall are the top of the list as far as wide receiver points go. Hopefully I can even up my record this week and edge closer to the playoffs. Till next time….HAPPY TURKEY DAY everyone!

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Thursday Night Football Pick, Fantasy, Phillies

Week #4 already…which means another Thursday Night Football Game featuring the Baltimore Ravens VS the Cleveland Browns. The Ravens beat New England by 1 point and they are firing on all cylinders on both sides of the ball. The Browns have not played horrible this season, but they will not stand a chance against a Baltimore Ravens team that now has a potent offense to go with it’s stellar defense. I’m taking the Ravens by 10 points in this game. As far as fantasy goes…Start Joe Flacco, Ray Rice, And Baltimore’s Defense. Sit Anquan Boldin, Brandon Weeden, and Trent Richardson. This game should be the lock of the week. In other news…The Philadelphia Phillies Have failed to make that run that I predicted. They do not deserve to get into the playoffs. Being swept by the Astros was the turning point….unacceptable. Rumor has it that next year the Phillies will bring up Freddy Galvis to play 2B and move Chase Utley to 3B. Utley has had a comeback year and this move should benefit his health as 3B puts less wear and tear on his hips. As far as injuries go I would just sit Roy Halladay the remainder of the season. And yes…injuries did play a part in the disappointing season, but in my opinion they were not an excuse to not make the playoffs. This team was talented enough to overcome these injuries. Poor coaching, playing down to talent, and inconsistent offense were the main reasons this team will fail to make the playoffs for the first time in 6 years. Oh well…there is always next year.

FANTASY MUST START/MUST SIT…Last Minute Lineup Changes

Let’s go back to Week #2. Sometimes Fantasy Football can be a CrapShoot. Looking back at my picks for Fantasy Start Ems and Sit Ems from last week….one would probably say WTF does this guy have any business playing Fantasy. In fact, My own Team Da Birds in the Echo Beach Fantasy League (CBS SPORTS) is 0-2. No problem here…I have been in this spot many a years prior and ended up finishing on top. Alright…Enough Bullshit….let’s get to the gist of this Blog. Here is my breakdown of Must Start/ Must Sit by position for Week #3:

MUST START
QB- RJ3 ( Washington plays Cincinnati and they are at home for this contest. Teams have been able to throw the ball against the Bengals. Look for RJ3 to have a huge day), Matthew Stafford (Detroit is playing Tennessee and they are due for a breakout game all around on offense….Stafford will shine today on the road), Drew Brees (Brees has been a disappointment thus far so I am expecting a big passing day against a weak Kansas City Secondary. Both of these teams struggle to play Defense, so expect Brees to put up some solid numbers on the day), Tony Romo (Dallas is at home against Tampa Bay, who just gave up over 500 yards through the air last Sunday…look for Romo to attack their mistake prone secondary early and often), Matt Cassel (Kansas City should be able to exploit the New Orleans Defense, which has been non existent the first 2 Weeks).
RB- CJ Spiller (As I stated in my previous post…I am expecting a career day from Spiller who is seeing the majority of carries for Buffalo, while Fred Jackson slowly mends on the sideline. Spiller is a 2 Dimensional back and will put up huge numbers today…book it), Demarco Murray (Another Fantasy new comer that should have NJ problem against Tampa Bay and their last ranked defense), LeSean McCoy ( As I said…I refuse to be a homer…last week I had McCoy sitting against a usual tough Baltimore Run Defense. However, McCoy proved why he was taken First in many leagues this year with another solid game. Never pick this guy to sit again this year!), Maurice Jones-Drew (After missing the entire pre-season, MJD is due for a breakout game…he always performs well against rivals so what better rival than Indy…He will be featured on the ground and will also do some damage with the screen play today), Alfred Morris (Morris has quickly become the Redskins starting running back and should be able to tear up a very weak Cincy run defense.)
WR- Miles Austin (Miles has 2 100 yard game weeks in a row while nursing a groin injury. Look what Giants receivers did last week to Tampa Bay and Austin owners should be salivating this week. The entire Dallas Offense is a Must Start today), Dwayne Bowe (Throwing the ball on New Orleans should be a priority today as Kansas City tries to upset the Saints on the road…expect Bowe to have at least 100 yards and a touchdown in this matchup), Marques Colston (Any receiver in this game should be starting today, at least as a Flex Option), Calvin Johnson (Megatron has been injured so far…but expect him to have a stellar day today and finally earn his spot as the Number 1 Fantasy Receiver in the Game), Larry Fitzgerald ( He always plays big against Philly and this contest will be no different. Arizona is at home and should be playing from behind so they will throw the ball quite often.)
TE- Vernon Davis (Going into week #3 Davis is the number one point scorer at Tight End and he should continue his stellar season against a very weak Vikings Secondary), Jason Witten (As stated start all Cowboys today), Grontkowski ( With Hernandez out with an injury for a few weeks…look for the Patriots to feature Gronk early and often…Baltimore showed a weakness against the pass against Philly so Tom Brady should be able to utilize his Tight End), Brent Celek ( Celek is looking like he did a few years back when he was a Fantasy Stud…With both Eagles receivers having some injury problems…look for Vick to use his Tight End as his number 1 Weapon on Sunday in Tempe), Tony Gonzalez ( Gonzalez is like the Energizer Bunny…he should do well against a porous Chargers Pass Defense.)
K- David Akers ( The Eagles must be kicking themselves today for letting Akers walk as he has been resurgent for the Upstart 49ers), Jason Hanson (Detroit will put up a decent amount of points and sometimes struggles in the Red Zone, so there should be some Field Goals in this one), Adam Vinnatieri (He may be a lock for the Hall of Fame and Indy always has exciting games against their rival Jacksonville…he should put up decent numbers on Sunday), Alex Henry (The Eagles will score often but will struggle in the Red Zone as always so Henry should have a very busy day today), Mason Crosby (Seattle has a very underrated Secondary so they should bend but not break in this contest. I actually have them as my upset team over the Packers so Crosby should be very busy as Green Bay will settle for multiple Field Goals.)
D- San Francisco (Number 1 and won’t change), Philadelphia (They should be able to wreak havoc against their former QB Kevin Kolb), Pittsburgh ( They have their Mojo back so expect them to punish the Raiders weak passing game), Miami (Their Defense is playing solid in all facets of the game and should have Sanchez running for his life), (Chicago-At home I think they put a hurting on St. Louis an their young offense.)

MUST SIT
QB- Mark Sanchez (He will be on his ass guaranteed), Carson Palmer ( Probably the biggest disappointment this year), Jake Locker ( Detroit has a Great pass rush and should be in the youngster’s face all day), Kevin Kolb ( The Eagles should limit Kolb who may get some garbage points at the end of the game), Sam Bradford (Chicago’s Offense may be inconsistent but they are still Fantasy Studs against the Pass…Although Btadford had a career day last week look for him to come back down to earth this week…look what the Bears did to Aaron Rodgers.)
RB- Adrian Peterson (He is not the same back and he is facing the League’s toughest Defense), Michael Turner (A disappointment and going against a much improved Chargers Defense), Shonn Greene (You just cannot run against the Dolphins Defense…that seems to be a given every year), Cedric Benson (I have the Seahawks upsetting Green Bay on their home turf and a big part of that will be the ability to shut down the run…they held Murray of the Cowboys to 44 all purpose yards last week), Ben Tate ( The Broncos are 5th against the run, so Tate should come back to reality.)
WR- Vincent Jackson (The Cowboys have not given up a passing Touchdown in 2 weeks), Santonio Holmes ( He is embarrassing in his past 5 games against Miami…don’t chance him this week to break that trend), Greg Jennings (Seattle will give the Packers fits and Jennings has been an underachiever so far this year…wait another week), Eric Decker (Houston is playing stellar on both sides of the ball and Decker has not shown his worth thus far), Wes Welker (He has not faired well against Baltimore…they may be the only team to limit him under 100 yard receiving consistently and today will be no different.
TE- Jacob Tamme, Marcedes Lewis, Fred Davis, Jermichah Finley ( I would stay away from Green Bay this week against the Seahawks dominant Defense…holding Tight Ends hostage), Scott Chandler (Buffalo will pound the ball with it’s fierce rushing attack).
K- Sebastian Janikowski, Justin Tucker, Matt Prater, Greg Zurlein, Nick Folk.
Defense-Broncos, Bengals, St. Louis, Arizona, Baltimore.

Ok so these are my Week #3 Fantasy Studs and Duds. Should be an exciting week. In other sports news…Roy Halladay may have had his worst start of his career at the most inauspicious time of the year. Meanwhile, Dickey got Win #19 and Gio Gonzalez got Win #20. Dickey is my CY YOUNG pick hands down. Gonzalez has been great but he is not the only reason the Nats are going to make the postseason. Without Dickey, the Mets could have lost 100 games this year. He is a pimp. Hockey still in the toilet and they are slowly making themselves look foolish.

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My Picks/Fantasy Fallout

Well Week # 1 of the NFL season is in the books and it was a wild and crazy weekend. In my prior post I picked winners…I was 10-4. This was just straight winners. In future weeks my friend and I will go head to head against the spread to make it mire interesting. Another NFL week means another week of Fantasy Football. This year I am only in 1 league. Of course, like my track record the past few years I lost the first week. It was not a blowout at least. My stars did very well but I did have 1 costly injury…Fred Jackson of the Buffalo Bills going down just after 1 carry. Had Jackson not gotten hurt, there is a good chance that I could have won. Anyways…Maurice Jones Drew performed better than even I expected. Brandon Marshall and Calvin Johnson were Fantasy Beasts. Baltimore’s Defense was sick and Vick did ok. However, Peyton Manning proved to me that he can be my starting QB on most weeks. My bench is not that strong, although Meachem and Boldin had pretty decent games and so did Miles Austin. My weak link is Running Back…I am shorthanded in that area. Well…stay tuned to see who I will pick up on the waiver wire and I can already Tell you that I am dropping Johnathan Stewart. I’m proud of the way my team performed in week 1. From an Eagle’s fans perspective…they were very lucky to come out with a win. Now they have the very tough task of Baltimore, but at least it will be at home. Stay tuned to my Week 2 Picks and my fantasy sleepers and duds. Till next time…keep rocking with your &&@)@)@) out!

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